Madi revenue forecast

Month 1 is your actual sheet. Foundation renews monthly, Agency is a single fee, and Agency Plus runs a fixed term.

Foundation · 100
$97 then $20/mo
Agency · 4
$1,297 one-time
Agency Plus · 2
$1,970/mo x 4 months
Month 1
$18,828
Foundation
Monthly churn6.0%
Self-serve at this price typically runs 3-7%. Margin-adjusted lifetime value $258
New signups, month over month12.0%
Members upgrading to Agency each month1.5%
About 59 upgrades in month 24
Agency
$1,297 charged once, in the month the client signs. Non-recurring.
New sales, month over month12.0%
A one-time fee has no churn. Every month starts from zero and depends entirely on new sales.
Agency Plus
$1,970 per month x 4 = $7,880 per client, then the engagement ends. No renewals.
Completed builds continuing into Plus25.0%
About 21.1 Plus engagements starting in month 24, each worth $4,728 on margin
Direct new sales, month over month5.0%
Cost of delivery
Model and API spend, hosting, fulfilment, and the Team Madison hours on agency work. Not sales, not overhead.
Foundation40.0%
Agency40.0%
Agency Plus40.0%
Blended margin at month 24: 60.0%
Team, tools, and overhead. Gross profit minus this is net profit — $219,114 in month 24.
Acquisition slowdown per month5.0%
How fast the growth rate itself cools. Set to zero for pure compounding, which no channel sustains for three years.
Collected in month 12
$160,812
$96,487 gross profit
Gross profit, month 24
$219,114
$365,190 in, $146,076 cost
Net profit, month 24
$219,114
$219,114 gross less $0 operating costs; $2,562,645 cumulative
Gross profit through month 24
$2,562,645
on $4,271,076 collected
Contracted share, month 24
61.2%
$223,377 from Foundation subscriptions and Plus terms already sold; $93,809 is one-time Agency fees
MonthFoundationAgencyPlusFoundation $Agency $Plus $CollectedCostGross profitNet profitMargin
110042$9,700$5,188$3,940$18,828($7,531)$11,297$11,29760.0%
220565$12,716$7,639$10,047$30,402($12,161)$18,241$18,24160.0%
331489$15,891$10,214$17,281$43,387($17,355)$26,032$26,03260.0%
44291013$19,232$12,920$25,689$57,840($23,136)$34,704$34,70460.0%
55501216$22,741$15,761$31,378$69,880($27,952)$41,928$41,92860.0%
66771418$26,422$18,742$36,172$81,336($32,534)$48,801$48,80160.0%
78091721$30,276$21,865$41,160$93,300($37,320)$55,980$55,98060.0%
89491924$34,301$25,131$46,348$105,780($42,312)$63,468$63,46860.0%
91,0942226$38,495$28,541$51,740$118,776($47,510)$71,266$71,26660.0%
101,2462529$42,856$32,093$57,337$132,286($52,914)$79,372$79,37260.0%
111,4042832$47,378$35,785$63,139$146,302($58,521)$87,781$87,78160.0%
121,5693135$52,055$39,613$69,145$160,812($64,325)$96,487$96,48760.0%
131,7393438$56,880$43,573$75,350$175,803($70,321)$105,482$105,48260.0%
141,9163741$61,845$47,659$81,749$191,254($76,501)$114,752$114,75260.0%
152,0984045$66,942$51,866$88,336$207,143($82,857)$124,286$124,28660.0%
162,2864348$72,160$56,186$95,102$223,448($89,379)$134,069$134,06960.0%
172,4794752$77,489$60,611$102,039$240,139($96,056)$144,084$144,08460.0%
182,6775055$82,920$65,134$109,135$257,189($102,876)$154,313$154,31360.0%
192,8795459$88,441$69,745$116,380$274,565($109,826)$164,739$164,73960.0%
203,0865763$94,040$74,436$123,761$292,237($116,895)$175,342$175,34260.0%
213,2966167$99,706$79,197$131,266$310,169($124,068)$186,102$186,10260.0%
223,5096570$105,429$84,019$138,880$328,329($131,332)$196,997$196,99760.0%
233,7266974$111,196$88,893$146,591$346,680($138,672)$208,008$208,00860.0%
243,9457278$116,996$93,809$154,385$365,190($146,076)$219,114$219,11460.0%

This is a cash view: every figure is money collected in that month. Foundation charges $97 at signup and $20 every month after, so it is the only tier with churn. Agency is $1,297 once, in the month the client signs, so it starts from zero each month. Agency Plus bills $1,970 a month for 4 months and then ends, with no renewals. Cost of delivery starts at 40% everywhere, which is almost certainly wrong in both directions. Net profit is gross profit minus the flat monthly operating costs you set above; it is the only figure here that can go negative.